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25 Big Tech Predictions

For 2016

By The BI Intelligence Research Team

Almost every industry has been disrupted by digital technologies over the past
decade:

 Retailers have been shifting from brick-and-mortar stores to online
outlets.

 Payment cards are moving from our wallets to our smartphones.
 Publishers have ditched paper and are now sending content in real time.
 Automakers have said the next five years will disrupt the industry more

than the last 50 years have.
 Tech giants are replacing our PCs with mobile devices.

In 2016, we predict even more disruption will occur: Facebook will battle
YouTube in mobile video, Indonesia will become one of the largest smartphone
markets, the Blockchain will be recognized as more than a fad, Amazon will
leave its shipping partners, and oil companies will embrace IoT technology as
the price of oil continues to drop.

In this report, we provide 25 predictions across our five key verticals including
Mobile, E-Commerce, Digital Media, Payments, and the Internet
of Things.

Copyright © 2016, Business Insider, Inc. All rights reserved. intelligence@businessinsider.com 2
Our Top 5 IoT Predictions

1.

Two-thirds of new cars shipped in the US will be connected to
the internet.

In 2015, roughly 35%-40% of new cars shipped in the US were connected to the
internet, far surpassing our 23% estimate from the beginning of the year. We
expect this strong growth to continue through 2016, and estimate that two-
thirds of new cars shipped in the US will be connected to the internet.

As we highlight in our Connected Car Report (download the report
at http://read.bi/2016-predictions-connected-car-report), cars are being
connected to the internet primarily to benefit automakers. For example,
automakers are able to track data about how the car is being used and push
over-the-air updates to the car. In addition to internal reasons, automakers have
been motivated to connect their cars due to rising consumer demand for in-car
technology. In fact, 37% of recent car buyers in China, the US, and Germany said
they would be willing to switch to a different automaker if it was the only one
offering access to data, media, and applications, up from 20% of recent car
buyers who said the same a year ago.

The Connected Car 5-Part Research Package from BI Intelligence:

 The Connected-Car Report
 The Self-Driving Car Report
 The Apple Carplay & Android Auto Report
 The In-Car Infotainment Center Report
 The Connected Car Webinar

Get it now at:
http://read.bi/connected-car-package

Copyright © 2016, Business Insider, Inc. All rights reserved. intelligence@businessinsider.com 3
2.

The US will finally get federal guidance surrounding self-driving
cars, leading many states to enact legislation.

While self-driving car technology continues to improve, a lack of regulations has
been one of the top barriers to self-driving cars hitting the roads in the US. A few
weeks ago, California’s Department of Motor Vehicles released a draft of
proposed regulations that would make the state the first to give consumers the
right to ride in self-driving cars on public roads. And in 2016, we expect the
federal government to provide more guidance to states that are creating their
own self-driving car regulations.

Late in 2015, US Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx ordered the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration to update its policy on self-driving cars to
help bring the technology to the roads, with the hopes of making roa


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